Will Hawaii Question 1 (more Senate time for judicial appointments) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms9d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 76.5%
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1
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 14 hours ago
StaleOct 6, 26, 6:39 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if Hawaii Question 1 (Increasing the Timeframe for the Hawaii Senate to Consider and Act on Judicial Appointments.) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Majority of votes tallied on the question AND yes votes ≥50% of all ballots cast at the election (Haw.
- XVII §3; blank/over votes effectively count against).
- Turnout-style rule: yes votes must be at least 50% of total ballots cast in the general election, not just of votes on the question.
- Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not.
- YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.