Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 77.3%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Feb 12, 26, 8:05 PM UTCApr 20, 32, 11:20 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Gavin Newsom ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom become president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom ever become the Democratic nominee for president?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be the next Democrat to become President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsGavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRules
Despite the title saying ‘by 2032’, this market resolves YES if Newsom becomes president before scheduled market close date.
- Resolves NO at scheduled market close date, or if Newsom dies or becomes ineligible.
