Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050??

Manifold Markets prices No at 60% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050? resolve?

Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2049.

How is Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Close date updated to 2049-12-31 11:11 am

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KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 202923.5%
• Before Jan 1, 202815.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+0.3pt4.6%

+4 more outcomes

Total Vol

$37.9M

24h Vol

$67.8K

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31-0.4pt3%

+6 more outcomes

Total Vol

$75.9M

24h Vol

$63.1K

KALSHI

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

• No96.8%
• Yes-1.1pt3.3%

Total Vol

$843.6K

24h Vol

$5.5K

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

• Yes+3.0pt79.7%
• No20.3%

Total Vol

$455.3K

24h Vol

$4.6K

KALSHI

Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?

• Yes-1.0pt76.5%
• No23.5%

Total Vol

$27K

24h Vol

$4K

POLYMARKET

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

• 1+0.5pt90.9%
• 2-0.5pt9.1%
• 30%

+3 more outcomes

• How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
• What will the biggest earthquake be on October 31, 2026?
• Is Earth flat?
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• When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
• Natural Disaster in 2026?
• Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
• How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
• When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
• 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
• What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?