Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt23.5%
• Before Jan 1, 202815.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+0.2pt5%

+4 more outcomes

Total Vol

$37.7M

24h Vol

$136.8K

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31-0.7pt3%
• October 31-0.1pt0%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$75.7M

24h Vol

$78.9K

KALSHI

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

• Before 203583%
• Before 203057.9%
• Before 2029-3.4pt19%

KALSHI

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 30, 2026?

• Magnitude of at least 5.261%
• Magnitude of at least 5.430%
• Magnitude of at least 5.615%

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

• Yes-4.7pt79%
• No21.1%

Total Vol

$449.1K

24h Vol

$4.4K

POLYMARKET

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

• 1-0.5pt90.9%
• 2-0.5pt9.1%
• 3+0.1pt0%

+3 more outcomes