Current community forecast
Yes 74.2%
Forecasters
706
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleApr 27, 23, 7:21 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
The development of general-purpose robots capable of performing household chores has been a long-standing goal in the field of robotics.
- Such a robot would need to be versatile, adaptable, and capable of handling a wide range of tasks and environments commonly found in American homes.
- Achieving this level of capability remains a significant challenge.
- Will a general household robot capable of performing household chores to a high level of reliability be developed before January 1st, 2030?
- Resolution Criteria:
- This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1st, 2030, a general household robot is developed anywhere in the world and has been publicly and credibly documented to have:
