What are the current odds for Will Ethiopia recognize Somaliland before 2028??

Manifold Markets prices No at 71.8% as of November 2, 2026.

Paper trade this

Will Ethiopia recognize Somaliland before 2028?

One-OffGeopolitics Politics1y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 71.8%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Dec 29, 25, 5:11 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will the US recognize Somaliland before 2028?

Manifold Markets

Will Ethiopia recognize Somaliland before the video game Grand Theft Auto 6 is released?

Manifold Markets

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

Kalshi

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Polymarket

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

Polymarket

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

Polymarket

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Report a data issue with this market

Will Ethiopia recognize Somaliland before 2028?

Will Ethiopia recognize Somaliland before 2028?

Open markets

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?