Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 98.1%
Forecasters
49
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJun 8, 25, 1:32 AM UTCNov 11, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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Manifold MarketsRules
Primary defeats, general election defeats, forced retirements etc count.
- Elon Musk must donate a major amount or launch a large campaign to defeat these candidates.
- A lone statement or tweet does not suffice
- I will not trade in this market.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026? resolve?
- Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 11, 2026.
- How is Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Primary defeats, general election defeats, forced retirements etc count.