Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 72.7%
Forecasters
84
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleDec 31, 23, 10:36 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
It resolves to N/A if both are alive on the closing date or if both die within 24 hours of each other.
- If one of them is missing or otherwise presumed dead for more then 6 months, we assume they died at the date of their disappearance (until then they are presumed alive).
