What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden??

Manifold Markets prices No at 70% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden? resolve?

Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The date for this market will extend until one of them dies.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningSource data degraded

Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 2:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

No 70%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 14 hours ago

Stale

Aug 1, 26, 4:23 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

The date for this market will extend until one of them dies.