Will Donald Trump burp into the microphone and then say "Pardon me" during his presidency?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.8%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleJan 16, 26, 6:17 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
I will not trade on this market.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if there is documented evidence (video, audio recording, or credible news report) of Donald Trump burping audibly into a microphone during an official presidential event or public address while serving as the 47th president, followed by him saying "Pardon me" acknowledging the burp.
- The burp must be clearly audible and the acknowledgment must occur within 10 seconds of the burp.
- This market resolves NO if Trump's presidency ends (January 20, 2029) without such an incident occurring, or if any burp-like sounds are ambiguous or not followed by an acknowledgment.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump burp into the microphone and then say "Pardon me" during his presidency??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 87% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Donald Trump burp into the microphone and then say "Pardon me" during his presidency? resolve?
- Will Donald Trump burp into the microphone and then say "Pardon me" during his presidency? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2029.
- How is Will Donald Trump burp into the microphone and then say "Pardon me" during his presidency? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I will not trade on this market.