Will Democrats win at least 52 senate seats in the midterms?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Democrats win at least 52 senate seats in the midterms??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 50.5% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Will Democrats win at least 52 senate seats in the midterms? resolve?

Will Democrats win at least 52 senate seats in the midterms? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will Democrats win at least 52 senate seats in the midterms? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if dems are projected to win 52 or more senate seats after the 2026 midterms by the associated press or nbc.

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POLYMARKET

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

• None-2.0pt23.5%
• IA, KS+5.5pt13.3%
• IA+3.0pt11.2%

+125 more outcomes

Total Vol

$12.8M

24h Vol

$12.5M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+2.0pt69.5%
• D-House, R-Senate26.5%
• Republicans sweep-2.4pt

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico70.5%
• Ken Paxton29.5%

Total Vol

$58.8M

24h Vol

$5.9M

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+1.9pt93.8%
• Republican Party-1.8pt6.5%

Total Vol

$86.7M

24h Vol

$4.4M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+1.0pt69.6%
• R Senate, D23.5%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt5.9%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+1.0pt94.1%
• Republican Party-1.0pt5.9%

Total Vol

$33.5M

24h Vol

$2.2M

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