Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 81.8%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 22 hours ago
StaleMay 20, 26, 7:03 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Bill C-22, titled the "Lawful Access Act, 2026," receives Royal Assent in Canada at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- It will resolve to NO if the bill does not receive Royal Assent by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- The official status of the bill can be verified via the Parliament of Canada’s LEGISinfo website at https://www.parl.ca/legisinfo/en/bill/45-1/c-22.
- Royal Assent is the final stage of the legislative process in Canada; the market will resolve based on the official record of the bill becoming law.
- Bill C-22, introduced in March 2026, is a government bill aimed at "modernizing" lawful access rules for law enforcement in the digital age.
