Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 52.2%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleSep 3, 24, 4:43 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Alaska legalise sports betting by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
PolymarketWill sports betting be significantly restricted in the U.S. by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
KalshiHow many times will Trump visit his D.C. golf club in Sep 2026?
KalshiWill Donald Trump attend UFC 332?
KalshiRules
Will California legalise sports betting by the end of 2026?
- Resolves YES if sports betting becomes legal before the end of 2026.
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $805.6K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt44.1%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $290.1K
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will California legalise sports betting by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 52% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will California legalise sports betting by the end of 2026? resolve?
- Will California legalise sports betting by the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will California legalise sports betting by the end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will California legalise sports betting by the end of 2026?