Will Nebraska Initiative Measure 441 (online sports betting statute) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
RegulationOne-OffPoliticsElection8d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 66.5%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleOct 6, 26, 6:48 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
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Rules
This market resolves YES if Nebraska Initiative Measure 441 (Online Sports Wagering Regulation: Shall statutes be enacted that: (1) Allow persons located within Nebraska to place sports wagers through an Internet-based platform when offered by an authorized gaming operator conducting games of chance within a licensed racetrack enclosure in Nebraska or the operator's platform provider; and (2) Regulate such sports wagers?) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Majority of votes cast on the measure AND 'For' votes >= 35% of total votes cast at the election (Neb.
- III, sec. 4) 35% rule: even with a majority, 'For' votes must equal at least 35% of all voters casting ballots in the Nov 3 election (e.g., 100 voters -> at least 35 'For')
- Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not.
- YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.
- What the votes mean (official summary):
