Will Nebraska Initiative Measure 440 (online sports betting amendment) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
RegulationOne-OffPoliticsElection4d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 64.5%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleOct 6, 26, 6:48 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market resolves YES if Nebraska Initiative Measure 440 (Online Sports Wagering Authorization: Shall the Nebraska Constitution be amended to authorize the enactment of laws allowing persons located within Nebraska to place sports wagers through an Internet-based platform when offered by an authorized gaming operator conducting games of chance within a licensed racetrack enclosure in Nebraska?) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Majority of votes cast on the measure AND 'For' votes >= 35% of total votes cast at the election (Neb.
- III, sec. 4) 35% rule: even with a majority, 'For' votes must equal at least 35% of all voters casting ballots in the Nov 3 election (e.g., 100 voters -> at least 35 'For')
- Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not.
- YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.
- What the votes mean (official summary):
