Will Artificial Superintelligence be developed in the USA while Donald Trump is president?
PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 81.7%
Forecasters
45
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jan 29, 25, 8:41 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Joe Biden dies while Donald Trump is president, he will receive a state funeral.
Manifold MarketsIf China invades Taiwan while Donald Trump is president, will the U.S. go to war with China?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) lead directly to the development of Artificial Superintelligence (ASI)?
Manifold MarketsIF artificial superintelligence exists by 2030, will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
