Will any ballot boxes or mail in ballots be confiscated in the 2026 midterms?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionUS Politics2026 US Midterms1mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 59.6%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 26, 26, 1:46 PM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Includes being taken, held, removed, guarded related to counting/recounting, by anyone: Democrats, Republicans, poll officials or workers, observers, or someone or some group the President sends.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point during the 2026 U.S. midterm elections cycle (from the start of early voting through the final certification of the November 3, 2026 general election results), there is at least one verified incident where physical ballots, ballot boxes, or voting/tabulation machines containing ballots are confiscated, seized, held, or removed from the custody of official county or state election administrators by:
- Law enforcement officers (local, state, or federal),
- Political party representatives, campaign observers, or partisan activist groups,
- Federal agents or personnel acting under orders from the executive branch, or
