Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 82.2%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleDec 2, 23, 5:17 AM UTCJan 2, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRules
As stated in the question.
- If you think there’s ambiguity let me know.
- One edge case is George Santos being re-elected and re-expelled, but odds are so small I’m not going to entertain it.
