Current community forecast
No 53.9%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJul 3, 26, 7:15 PM UTCSep 29, 28, 10:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will someone other than Andy Burnham be UK Prime Minister at any point before 1 August 2028?
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SmarketsRules
Niall Ferguson writes:
- I wish Andy Burnham the best of luck as he takes his turn atop the greasy pole.
- If he lasts two years, then dinner—at Peterhouse high table—is on me.
- Why Britons Really Regret Brexit
- I interpret this that he doesn't think there's a big chance Andy Burnham will last that long.
- This market will start it's timer when Andy Burnham becomes PM.