Will an autonomous agent resolve 90% of tasks on SWE-bench by 2027?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will an autonomous agent resolve 90% of tasks on SWE-bench by 2027??

Manifold Markets prices No at 72.5% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will an autonomous agent resolve 90% of tasks on SWE-bench by 2027? resolve?

Will an autonomous agent resolve 90% of tasks on SWE-bench by 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will an autonomous agent resolve 90% of tasks on SWE-bench by 2027? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves "Yes" if, at time of closure, there is an entry on the SWE-bench leaderboard (https://www.swebench.com/) with score greater or equal to 90%.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.6pt98%
• Anthropic-1.4pt1%
• OpenAI1%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$4.1M

24h Vol

$239.4K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+7.7pt53%
• Claude-9.5pt35%
• ChatGPT+1.3pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.5pt23%
• 2028-2.0pt17%
• 2027-0.5pt9%

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+7.0pt28%
• 2028+3.5pt24%
• 2027+0.5pt10%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+3.5pt53%
• Anthropic-9.0pt33%
• OpenAI6%

+12 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-0.5pt30.1%
• $1.5–$1.75T+4.5pt21.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T-1.9pt20.4%

+7 more outcomes

• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Google market share this week
• Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?