Will Admiral Frank "Mitch" Bradley be removed by any means before the 2026 Midterm Elections?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionAwaiting resolution
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.2%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleDec 2, 25, 9:06 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
This market resolves Yes if Adm.
- Bradley is fired, resigns, dies, or is otherwise no longer at his current post by the end of November 3rd, 2026.
- A nominal promotion or adjustment of his title won't count, he has to actually lose his current status and duties.
- Being moved to an unrelated duty such as an ambassadorship would count for Yes.
- Although this market is in response to the potential that he will be scapegoated by Secretary of Defense Hegseth and President Trump, it does not require any particular motive be revealed.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions in the comments.
