Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJun 24, 23, 10:48 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?
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PolymarketRules
Resolves NO if humanity is still around in 2100.
- If we are not still around, then the resolution is up to whatever intelligent non-human beings, if any, exist in our wake.
- Hopefully, they will resolve it correctly based on whether or not it was nuclear war that did us in.