Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 15, 2026, 5:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 86.6%
Forecasters
27
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleApr 8, 23, 10:52 PM UTCJan 1, 65, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves when the next Supreme court justice is confirmed.
- Resolves Yes if the President that nominated them is a Democrat, No otherwise.
