Who will win the clash of civilizations.
GeopoliticsOne-OffHealth & MedicineWeatherRussia / UkraineChinaManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAnglos🇺🇸 26.8%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMar 10, 25, 11:11 PM UTCDec 31, 50, 2:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Samuel P. Huntington's "Clash of Civilizations" thesis, introduced in a 1993 Foreign Affairs article and expanded in his 1996 book, proposes that post-Cold War conflicts would primarily arise from cultural and religious differences between civilizations rather than ideological or economic factors.
- Huntington identified several major civilizations including Western, Islamic, Sinic (Chinese), Hindu, Japanese, Latin American, Orthodox, and potentially African.
- The thesis suggests that as non-Western civilizations gain economic, military, and political power, they increasingly assert their cultural values and reject Western ones.
- This creates potential for conflict along the "fault lines" between civilizations.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on whether a clear "winner" emerges in what could be characterized as a clash of civilizations by 2050.
