Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastMarco Rubio 29.4%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 40 minutes ago
Mar 7, 25, 11:02 PM UTCSep 1, 28, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Conditional on this candidate winning the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, will they win the general election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsIf the first state to hold a Democratic presidential primary is not South Carolina, who will the nominee be?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire?
PredictItRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the candidate with the greatest number of votes in the 2028 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary.
- In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
- If no primary is held by September 1st, 2028, this market will resolve to "the named outcome."
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win the 2028 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary??
- Manifold Markets prices Marco Rubio at 29% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Who will win the 2028 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary? resolve?
- Who will win the 2028 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary? is scheduled to resolve on September 1, 2028.
- How is Who will win the 2028 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the candidate with the greatest number of votes in the 2028 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary.