Current community forecast
Andy Beshear 64.1%Leader of 15 outcomes
Forecasters
27
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleFeb 13, 25, 2:47 PM UTCNov 8, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will win the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsIf the first state to hold a Democratic presidential primary is not South Carolina, who will the nominee be?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsWhich state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
Kalshi2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRules
After the 2028 DNC, all markets except the nominee's resolve N/A.
- Otherwise, the nominee's market resolves NO.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- Next French Presidential Election
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- NJ-07 House winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Conditional on this candidate winning the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, will they win the general election??
- Manifold Markets prices Andy Beshear at 64% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Conditional on this candidate winning the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, will they win the general election? resolve?
- Conditional on this candidate winning the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, will they win the general election? is scheduled to resolve on November 8, 2028.
- How is Conditional on this candidate winning the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, will they win the general election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: After the 2028 DNC, all markets except the nominee's resolve N/A.