If the first state to hold a Democratic presidential primary is not South Carolina, who will the nominee be?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 53.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJul 24, 26, 9:33 PM UTCAug 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If the first state to hold a Democratic presidential primary is not South Carolina, who will the nominee be??
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If the first state to hold a Democratic presidential primary is not South Carolina, who will the nominee be? resolve?
- If the first state to hold a Democratic presidential primary is not South Carolina, who will the nominee be? is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2028.