Current community forecast
Silja Paymer 53.8%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleMay 17, 26, 12:03 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Three at-large seats on the Mountain View City Council are up for election on **November 3, 2026**.
- Alison Hicks, Ellen Kamei, and Lucas Ramirez are termed out and cannot run.
- Each candidate-answer resolves **YES** if that candidate is one of the top 3 vote-getters (winning a seat), and **NO** otherwise.
- Resolves on certified results. **Key dates** - Filing and nomination period: July 13 to August 7, 2026 - Write-in deadline: October 20, 2026 - Election day: November 3, 2026 **Candidates declared as of 2026-05-16.** Anyone can add additional candidates as they file. - **the named outcome.** Retired Intel project lead.
- Serves on the Rental Housing Committee, and previously served on the Environmental Planning Commission from 2013 to 2020.
- Affiliated with the Mountain View Historical Association, the Sierra Club Loma Prieta Chapter, and Livable Mountain View. - **the named outcome.** Los Altos High School teacher.
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- J.D. Vance50%
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- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win a seat on the Mountain View City Council in November 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Silja Paymer at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will win a seat on the Mountain View City Council in November 2026? resolve?
- Who will win a seat on the Mountain View City Council in November 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Who will win a seat on the Mountain View City Council in November 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Three at-large seats on the Mountain View City Council are up for election on **November 3, 2026**.