Who will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
29.1 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastGlenn Jacobs 38.2%+29.1ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+29.1 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleOct 25, 26, 9:58 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxblackburnseat/who-will-hold-marsha-blackburns-senate-seat-on-february-1-2027/kxblackburnseat-27feb01
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the named outcome officially holds the position of United States Senator from Tennessee, Class I on Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
