Current community forecast
Kanye West 100%Leader of 125 outcomes
Forecasters
195
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJan 21, 25, 4:40 PM UTCJan 31, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump do the Roman / Nazi Salute by the end of his 2nd term?
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KalshiHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiRules
Only salutes on or after January 21st 2025 count.
- I will resolve according to my judgment, based on credible video or photo/eyewitness evidence.
- Think of a "clear and convincing" but not necessarily "beyond a reasonable doubt" standard of evidence.
- For reference, Elon Musk's Nazi salute on January 20th would have counted and not been close.
- Salutes before inauguration day 2029 will count even if the named outcome is no longer acting as president.
- Update 2025-21-01 (PST): - The scope is global; salutes from any country are considered.
