Current community forecast
Andy Burnham 94.8%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
30
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMay 15, 26, 1:09 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to the individual who holds the office of the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at 11:59 pm GMT on 1 January 2027.
- Primary source: the official gov.uk list of ministers or a statement from Buckingham Palace.
- Tie-breaker: If the office is vacant at the time of resolution, it will resolve to the person who most recently held the office and has not formally resigned or been dismissed.
- Acting Prime Minister: If an Acting Prime Minister is appointed by the King (Monarch) and exercises the full powers of the office, they will count as the winner.
- General Election: If a General Election occurs before the resolution date, the winner of that election will be the resolution target.
