Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastAmy Klobuchar (DFL) 96%Leader of 21 outcomes
Forecasters
16
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJan 8, 26, 10:39 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- The election will take place on November 3, 2026.
- The winner will be determined by the candidate who receives the most votes in the general election.
- Resolution will be based on official results from the Minnesota Secretary of State's office at https://www.sos.state.mn.us/elections-voting/election-results/.
- Incumbent two-term Democratic Governor Tim Walz initially ran for reelection to a third term in office, but announced in January 2026 that he would drop out of the race.
- Primary elections are scheduled for August 11, 2026, with both major political parties hosting their gubernatorial primary elections on Aug. 11, shortening the list of candidates who can run on the November ballot as the official DFL or GOP nominee to one candidate per party.