What are the current odds for Which STF judge will leave the court with less than 74 years old??

Manifold Markets prices Luís Roberto Barroso at 98.7% as of October 30, 2026.

Which STF judge will leave the court with less than 74 years old?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

Luís Roberto Barroso 98.7%

Leader of 11 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Stale

Mar 12, 25, 3:32 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 2:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

The Brazilian Supreme Federal Court (STF) consists of 11 justices who are appointed by the President of Brazil and confirmed by the Senate.

Unlike some other countries, Brazil has a mandatory retirement age of 75 for Supreme Court justices.
Justices typically serve until reaching this age limit, though they may leave earlier due to resignation, health issues, or other personal reasons.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to the name of any STF judge who leaves the court before reaching 74 years of age.
Leaving the court includes resignation, removal, impeachment, death, or any other circumstance that results in the judge no longer serving on the STF.