Which party will win the popular vote in Minnesota in the 2028 presidential election?
3.3 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocratic Party 70.9%+3.3ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+3.3 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Nov 6, 26, 12:52 AM UTCNov 8, 28, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win the popular vote in Colorado in the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the popular vote in New Mexico in the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the popular vote in Virginia in the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the popular vote in Maine in the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich states will join the National Popular Vote Compact?
KalshiThird-party share of the 2028 presidential popular vote?
KalshiRules
Resolves to the party of the presidential ticket with the most votes in Minnesota in the November 7, 2028 election, per Minnesota's certified result.
- Only the vote count matters: how Minnesota awards its electoral votes, including under a national popular vote compact, doesn't.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- The DFL line counts as Democratic.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called it and no recount could change it.
