Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Maines 1st Congressional District?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocrats 89.8%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+56.4 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleSep 7, 26, 12:27 AM UTCNov 6, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolves yes to whoever the associated press declares the winner of this district in the 2028 us presidential election.
- 2028 United States presidential election - Wikipedia
- [link preview]
Open markets
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Maines 1st Congressional District??
- Manifold Markets prices Democrats at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Maines 1st Congressional District? resolve?
- Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Maines 1st Congressional District? is scheduled to resolve on November 6, 2028.
- How is Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Maines 1st Congressional District? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes to whoever the associated press declares the winner of this district in the 2028 us presidential election.