Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublicans 93%+1.0pt
Forecasters
16
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-2.1 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jan 22, 26, 6:22 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
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+16 more outcomes
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
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- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Party will win the 2026 Mississippi Senate Race??
- Manifold Markets prices Republicans at 93% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Which Party will win the 2026 Mississippi Senate Race? resolve?
- Which Party will win the 2026 Mississippi Senate Race? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.