Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 14, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastDemocrats 95.4%
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 days ago
StaleJan 15, 26, 9:00 AMNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democrats95%
Compare venues· Democrats
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on PredictIt
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Illinois?
1y
97%
3%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTIT
Also available on ForecastEx
Will the Democratic party win the Illinois general election for US Senate in 2026?
4mo
89%
11%
30 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
FORECASTEXRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.0kJul 132d of dataJul 14
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.