Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublicans 92.6%
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleFeb 11, 26, 1:23 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win the 2026 Alabama Senate Election
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic party win the Alabama's 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $222.4M
- 24h Vol
- $814.6K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $671.2K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.6pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $34M
- 24h Vol
- $468.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $17.1M
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December-2.0pt19%
- October13%
- September 30,-0.8pt4%
- Total Vol
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Party will win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election??
- Manifold Markets prices Republicans at 93% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Which Party will win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election? resolve?
- Which Party will win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- Where else is Which Party will win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election? listed?
- The same question is also listed on PredictIt.