Which of these countries will ratify the Paris Agreement before 2030?
GeopoliticsOne-OffWeatherMiddle East3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Libya 43.1%Leader of 3 outcomes
Libya 43.1%Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJan 3, 25, 9:17 AM UTCJan 5, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
The Paris Agreement, signed in 2016, is an international treaty on climate change, with a goal of keeping temperature rise below 2°C (and ideally below 1.5°C).
- Almost every country in the world has ratified the agreement (though the US withdrew and then rejoined); only three members of the UNFCC (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change) have signed but not ratified the agreement.
- Iran, Libya and Yemen all signed the Agreement in 2016; they will (independently) resolve YES if they ratify or accede to the Agreement on 31 December 2029 or earlier, and NO otherwise.
