Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Twin prime conjecture 45.6%Leader of 4 outcomes
Twin prime conjecture 45.6%Forecasters
16
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleSep 16, 23, 11:49 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:32 AM UTC
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How many of Landau's Problems are true?
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PolymarketRules
Landau's problems are four conjectures about prime numbers posed by Edmund Landau in 1912, none of which are solved as of 2023:
- Goldbach's conjecture: Every even integer (except 2) is the sum of two primes.
- the named outcome: There are infinitely many primes p such that p+2 is also prime.
- the named outcome: There is always a prime between any two perfect squares.
- There are infinitely many primes of the form n^2+1.
- Which will be the first of these conjectures to be proven or disproven?