What are the current odds for How many of Landau's Problems are true??

Manifold Markets prices 4 at 82% as of October 24, 2026.

When does How many of Landau's Problems are true? resolve?

How many of Landau's Problems are true? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.

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4 82%

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Updated 14 hours ago

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Sep 16, 23, 11:47 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:32 AM UTC

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Landau's problems are four conjectures about prime numbers posed by Edmund Landau in 1912, none of which are solved as of 2023:

Goldbach's conjecture: Every even integer (except 2) is the sum of two primes.
Twin prime conjecture: There are infinitely many primes p such that p+2 is also prime.
Legendre's conjecture: There is always a prime between any two perfect squares.
There are infinitely many primes of the form n^2+1.
How many of these conjectures will turn out to be true?