Current community forecast
At least 2 98.3%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Sep 13, 26, 4:13 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which of the following Millennium Prize Problems will be solved before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?
Manifold MarketsWill a new problem be added to the Millennium Prize Problems by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill all Millennium Prize problems by solved by the end of the century?
Manifold MarketsWhen will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
KalshiHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve based on the official status of the Millennium Prize Problems as determined by the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) on its official website: claymath.org/millennium-problems.
- Each option is independent and will resolve to YES if the cumulative number of officially solved Millennium Prize Problems (including the Poincaré conjecture) meets or exceeds the specified threshold by December 31, 2030, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- "Solved" means that someone either proves the statement or proves it false / comes up with a counterexample
- The options will resolve independently, so if 3 problems are solved, the "the named outcome" option will resolve to yes.
- Note: If more problems are added to the Millennium Prize Problems list, I will add more options.
- Background (written by AI)