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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Which DoE Reactor Pilot Program reactors will achieve criticality by 2026-12-31?
Manifold Markets

Which DoE Reactor Pilot Program reactors will achieve criticality by 2026-12-31?

One-OffScienceTech6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Aalo Atomics Inc. 30.5%
Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters

3

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 19 hours ago

Stale
Aug 13, 25, 10:43 PMJan 7, 27, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Aalo Atomics Inc.31%

Rules

The Reactor Pilot Program aims to streamline the development process for new fission reactor designs.

Manifold Markets
  • Which of the listed projects will achieve criticality by the end of 2026? The target date for the program is 2026-07-04; this question is intended to address schedule slips.
  • For the target date question, see: @/EvanDaniel/which-doe-reactor-pilot-program-rea and @/EvanDaniel/how-many-of-the-doe-reactor-pilot-p
  • Oklo, Inc submitted two projects.
  • If either achieves criticality, the "one or both projects" option will resolve Yes.
  • If they both do, the "both projects" option will also resolve Yes.

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Rules

The Reactor Pilot Program aims to streamline the development process for new fission reactor designs.

Manifold Markets
  • Which of the listed projects will achieve criticality by the end of 2026? The target date for the program is 2026-07-04; this question is intended to address schedule slips.
  • For the target date question, see: @/EvanDaniel/which-doe-reactor-pilot-program-rea and @/EvanDaniel/how-many-of-the-doe-reactor-pilot-p
  • Oklo, Inc submitted two projects.
  • If either achieves criticality, the "one or both projects" option will resolve Yes.
  • If they both do, the "both projects" option will also resolve Yes.