Current community forecast
Aalo Atomics Inc. 100%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 13, 25, 10:43 PM UTCJan 7, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
100%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
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KalshiRules
The Reactor Pilot Program aims to streamline the development process for new fission reactor designs.
- Which of the listed projects will achieve criticality by the end of 2026? The target date for the program is 2026-07-04; this question is intended to address schedule slips.
- For the target date question, see: @/EvanDaniel/which-doe-reactor-pilot-program-rea and @/EvanDaniel/how-many-of-the-doe-reactor-pilot-p
- Oklo, Inc submitted two projects.
- If either achieves criticality, the "one or both projects" option will resolve Yes.
- If they both do, the "both projects" option will also resolve Yes.
Open markets
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+1.2pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-41.6pt48%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $265.8K
- 24h Vol
- $109.9K
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 2028+1.0pt13%
- Before 2027+0.2pt5%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.3M
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $126.9K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $9.3K
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which DoE Reactor Pilot Program reactors will achieve criticality by 2026-12-31??
- Manifold Markets prices Aalo Atomics Inc. at 100% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Which DoE Reactor Pilot Program reactors will achieve criticality by 2026-12-31? resolve?
- Which DoE Reactor Pilot Program reactors will achieve criticality by 2026-12-31? is scheduled to resolve on January 7, 2027.
- How is Which DoE Reactor Pilot Program reactors will achieve criticality by 2026-12-31? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The Reactor Pilot Program aims to streamline the development process for new fission reactor designs.