Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 5:35 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
2029 76.9%Leader of 5 outcomes
2029 76.9%Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 16, 24, 1:05 AM UTCAug 17, 29, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
The next UK general election will take place in 2029 unless the Prime Minister calls one sooner.
- This question resolves to the year the next UK election will take place.