Current community forecast
Yes 71%
Forecasters
34
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJul 10, 24, 3:40 PM UTCJul 4, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Update 2024-16-12 (PST): This market refers to Kemi Badenoch, who won the Conservative Party leadership election, and whether she will remain leader until the next general election.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 71% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held? resolve?
- Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held? is scheduled to resolve on July 4, 2029.
- How is Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2024-16-12 (PST): This market refers to Kemi Badenoch, who won the Conservative Party leadership election, and whether she will remain leader until the next general election.