Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBefore 2027 99%+86.8ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
41
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+94.7 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 1, 25, 3:51 PM UTCDec 31, 31, 4:50 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Navier-Stokes problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiRules
Prove or give a counter-example of the following statement:
- In three space dimensions and time, given an initial velocity field, there exists a vector velocity and a scalar pressure field, which are both smooth and globally defined, that solve the Navier–Stokes equations.
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_existence_and_smoothness
- This market resolves to YES if the Clay Mathematics Institute (or equivalent organization) agrees that the Navier-Stokes problem has been solved
- Otherwise this market resolves to NO.
Open markets
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.0pt94%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+15.3pt47%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $256.6K
- 24h Vol
- $140.5K
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 2028-1.0pt12%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.3M
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2032+44.0pt92%
- Before 2028+44.0pt59%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 more outcomes
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved??
- Manifold Markets prices Before 2027 at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved? resolve?
- When will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2031.
- How is When will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Prove or give a counter-example of the following statement: