Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastBefore 2033 99.1%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
44
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJul 1, 25, 3:51 PM UTCDec 31, 31, 4:50 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved before 2028?
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PolymarketRules
Prove or give a counter-example of the following statement:
- In three space dimensions and time, given an initial velocity field, there exists a vector velocity and a scalar pressure field, which are both smooth and globally defined, that solve the Navier–Stokes equations.
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_existence_and_smoothness
- This market resolves to YES if the Clay Mathematics Institute (or equivalent organization) agrees that the Navier-Stokes problem has been solved
- Otherwise this market resolves to NO.
