Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 11:14 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
2030 or later 91%Leader of 7 outcomes
2030 or later 91%Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleDec 23, 24, 7:54 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Before 2030: Resolves as soon as the underground station opens to the public or if it becomes clear that it will never open.
- Resolves to “the named outcome” in 2030.
- I will not bet on this market.
- Stuttgart 21 was officially announced in April 1994.
- Construction work began on 2 February 2010.
- In March 2013, total costs were officially estimated at €6.5 billion, the previous estimate being €4.5 billion in 2009.