When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?
One-OffScience5yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 60%
Forecasters
45
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 20, 22, 2:31 AM UTCFeb 1, 32, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves to YES when we meet aliens (these could be sentient, intelligent, AI's) and learn if they value happiness and the reducing suffering of all sentient (as in, those clearly capable of suffering and experiencing happiness) life forms.
- If we meet aliens and they don't value these things, resolves NO.
- Title Changes:
- Sep 20, 9:16am: When we first meet aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all life forms? → When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all life forms?
- Sep 21, 9:31am: When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all life forms? → When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?
Open markets
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+2 more outcomes
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+3 more outcomes
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+1 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 60% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms? resolve?
- When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2032.
- How is When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to YES when we meet aliens (these could be sentient, intelligent, AI's) and learn if they value happiness and the reducing suffering of all sentient (as in, those clearly capable of suffering and experiencing happiness) life forms.