What are the current odds for Will we make contact with intelligent aliens by 2050??

Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of September 8, 2026.

Will we make contact with intelligent aliens by 2050?

One-OffScience

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 97.8%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 hours ago

Stale

Feb 3, 23, 2:44 AM UTCDec 31, 50, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will we have contact with intelligent alien life by 2030?

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When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

Polymarket

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Kalshi

NASA confirms aliens before 2027?

Manifold Markets

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

Kalshi

Rules

Contact has to be definitive.

Report a data issue with this market

Will we make contact with intelligent aliens by 2050?

One-OffScience

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 97.8%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 hours ago

Stale

Feb 3, 23, 2:44 AM UTCDec 31, 50, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will we have contact with intelligent alien life by 2030?

Manifold Markets

When we first meet (intelligent, advanced) aliens, will they value increasing happiness and reducing suffering of all sentient life forms?

Manifold Markets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

Polymarket

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Kalshi

NASA confirms aliens before 2027?

Manifold Markets

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

Kalshi

Rules

Contact has to be definitive.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will we make contact with intelligent aliens by 2050??: Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
When does Will we make contact with intelligent aliens by 2050? resolve?: Will we make contact with intelligent aliens by 2050? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2050.
How is Will we make contact with intelligent aliens by 2050? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Contact has to be definitive.

Will we make contact with intelligent aliens by 2050?

Will we make contact with intelligent aliens by 2050?

Frequently asked questions

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