Will we have contact with intelligent alien life by 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will we have contact with intelligent alien life by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 94.4% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Will we have contact with intelligent alien life by 2030? resolve?

Will we have contact with intelligent alien life by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.

How is Will we have contact with intelligent alien life by 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Intelligent life that arose outside planet earth independently of humans

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+1.8pt89.7%
• Anthropic-3.9pt9.3%
• OpenAI+0.1pt1%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.7M

24h Vol

$67.1K

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

• Above 699.5%
• Above 799.5%
• Above 8-2.0pt98.5%

POLYMARKET

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

• 0+4.0pt82.8%
• 1-1.5pt13.1%
• 2-3.2pt2%

+3 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027+2.5pt67%
• 2026-3.5pt19%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$495.4K

24h Vol

$12.7K

KALSHI

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

• Before 2028+1.0pt74%
• Before May 1, 2027+3.0pt61%
• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX-13.5pt55%
• Anthropic+11.2pt39%
• ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
• Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
• Which company has the best AI model end of November?
• Macklemore's Free Palestine Tour 2026: Who will perform
• Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
• What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in October 2026?
• SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
• Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
• Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?