Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026?
One-OffScienceHealth & Medicine3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 91%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleFeb 10, 24, 3:52 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
I recently heard about the far out initiative from ACX grants.
- Will there be good evidence that they or someone like them succeeds in genetically modifying a vertebrate to suffer much less by the end of 2026?
- In the event of a difficult resolution, I'll resolve to my best judgement.
- I will not bet on this market.
- Comments are welcome to try to persuade me.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026? resolve?
- Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I recently heard about the far out initiative from ACX grants.