Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 92.2% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026? resolve?

Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

How is Will there be any genetic modification which substantially reduces suffering in vertebrates by end of 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I recently heard about the far out initiative from ACX grants.

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POLYMARKET

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• December 31-0.2pt4%
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+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$75.4M

24h Vol

$176.3K

KALSHI

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• Before Jan 20, 202923.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt14%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+0.2pt4.8%

POLYMARKET

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• June 30-4.5pt49%
• December 31-2.0pt10%

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24h Vol

$5.3K

KALSHI

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• No97.6%
• Yes2.4%

Total Vol

$2M

24h Vol

$4.2K

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 26, 2026?

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• 5.3 to 5.4-24.5pt2.9%
• 5.7 to 5.8-11.4pt1%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

• United States+0.6pt56.6%
• China+0.2pt30.6%
• Russia1.9%

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